What do the inflation figures mean?

Earlier this week we had 2 different sets of inflation figures announced. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed prices had risen by 3.2% in the 12 months to the end of February. This is an increase on the January 12 month figure of 3%.

However, the retail price index (RPI) showed that inflation had fallen to zero.

Where is there such a difference between the figures?

The RPI statistics includes housing costs and so has shown a “zero” figure due to the recent falls in interest rates. However, consumer goods are still rising, particularly food and petrol. This has therefore resulted in the increased rate to 3.2%. This is mainly due to the fall in sterling, the effect of which has been passed on to the consumers by way of higher prices.

A number of economists still expect CPI to fall in the coming months, since retailers are likely to have to reduce prices in light of reduced consumer spending.

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