Improvement in auction prices
Monday, June 29th, 2009At the beginning of the year auction prices were at a 40% discount to the conventional market price. However, last week the FT reported that in May that figure had reduced to an 11% discount. The discount is at its lowest level for 15 months.
Despite the positive news though, all is not rosy. The article went on to report that futures markets are still pricing in modest falls in prices in the coming year - about 7 per cent.
When house prices are rising steadily, homes often sell at auction for more than the value implied by general house price inflation, because those bidding know they will not have to wait many months for a sale to be completed.
When house prices are falling, the sales at auctions can be expected to have lower prices than in the conventional market because bidders expect prices to continue to fall.
The reduction in the discount is consistent with a number of other housing data recently available showing the rate of decline in prices has definitely slowed.
However, mortgage finance is still very limited particularly for first time buyers without a large deposit. This will prevent any significant rebound in the housing market.